Hardest sports to master

We asked 10 models: Rank these sports from hardest to easiest to master at an elite level. Each ranked the same fixed set of options.

Agreement between models
73%
Same model, run twice
87%
Different picks
12

When agreement between models is well below a model's agreement with itself, the split reflects real differences in taste rather than randomness.

The consensus

Each cell is the position that model gave the pick; blank means it left the pick off. Click a row for each model's reasoning.

#PickScoreListed byClaude Haiku 5.5GPT-6 LunaGemini 4 ArgonQwen 3.8 FlashDeepSeek V4 ProGLM-5.3Kimi K3MiniMax M3Mistral Large 4Nemotron 3 Ultra

Most divisive

Picks most models listed, at very different positions

Hot takes

Picks that appear on only one ballot

Every model ranked the same options.

Every ballot

Hover a pick to find it on the other ballots. Marked picks appear on no other ballot.

Claude Haiku 5.5

  1. Baseball
  2. Gymnastics
  3. Ice hockey
  4. Figure skating
  5. Boxing
  6. Tennis
  7. Surfing
  8. Water polo
  9. Basketball
  10. Golf
  11. Soccer
  12. Swimming

63% with consensus · 76% self-consistent

GPT-6 Luna

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Tennis
  4. Boxing
  5. Ice hockey
  6. Golf
  7. Surfing
  8. Soccer
  9. Swimming
  10. Water polo
  11. Baseball
  12. Basketball

88% with consensus · 91% self-consistent

Gemini 4 Argon

  1. Boxing
  2. Gymnastics
  3. Ice hockey
  4. Water polo
  5. Figure skating
  6. Tennis
  7. Baseball
  8. Basketball
  9. Soccer
  10. Surfing
  11. Golf
  12. Swimming

67% with consensus · 84% self-consistent

Qwen 3.8 Flash

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Boxing
  4. Surfing
  5. Water polo
  6. Tennis
  7. Swimming
  8. Ice hockey
  9. Soccer
  10. Golf
  11. Basketball
  12. Baseball

88% with consensus · 94% self-consistent

DeepSeek V4 Pro

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Boxing
  4. Tennis
  5. Ice hockey
  6. Surfing
  7. Golf
  8. Water polo
  9. Soccer
  10. Swimming
  11. Basketball
  12. Baseball

93% with consensus · 90% self-consistent

GLM-5.3

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Boxing
  4. Ice hockey
  5. Water polo
  6. Surfing
  7. Golf
  8. Tennis
  9. Soccer
  10. Baseball
  11. Swimming
  12. Basketball

95% with consensus · 83% self-consistent

Kimi K3

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Golf
  4. Boxing
  5. Tennis
  6. Ice hockey
  7. Baseball
  8. Surfing
  9. Water polo
  10. Soccer
  11. Basketball
  12. Swimming

88% with consensus · 98% self-consistent

MiniMax M3

  1. Figure skating
  2. Gymnastics
  3. Boxing
  4. Tennis
  5. Water polo
  6. Golf
  7. Soccer
  8. Baseball
  9. Ice hockey
  10. Basketball
  11. Swimming
  12. Surfing

75% with consensus · 79% self-consistent

Mistral Large 4

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Boxing
  4. Ice hockey
  5. Water polo
  6. Basketball
  7. Soccer
  8. Tennis
  9. Baseball
  10. Swimming
  11. Surfing
  12. Golf

90% with consensus · 93% self-consistent

Nemotron 3 Ultra

  1. Boxing
  2. Gymnastics
  3. Figure skating
  4. Water polo
  5. Ice hockey
  6. Surfing
  7. Tennis
  8. Golf
  9. Basketball
  10. Soccer
  11. Swimming
  12. Baseball

72% with consensus · 81% self-consistent

Who agrees with whom

Overlap between two models' lists, weighted toward the top · 100 means identical · Color runs from 54 (lightest) to 93 (darkest)

Claude Haiku 5.5GPT-6 LunaGemini 4 ArgonQwen 3.8 FlashDeepSeek V4 ProGLM-5.3Kimi K3MiniMax M3Mistral Large 4Nemotron 3 Ultra
Claude Haiku 5.5586555596059545859
GPT-6 Luna585682938688738165
Gemini 4 Argon655661616658626887
Qwen 3.8 Flash558261899080738570
DeepSeek V4 Pro599361899287768572
GLM-5.3608666909283749275
Kimi K3598858808783717963
MiniMax M3547362737674717467
Mistral Large 4588168858592797469
Nemotron 3 Ultra596587707275636769